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China, economy in crisis: is real estate to blame?

China, economy in crisis: is real estate to blame?

near term, mainly due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential natural disasters, including extreme weather events. Manuela V. Ferro, vice president for East Asia and the Pacific at the Bank of the World Economy, said in the report: "East Asia and the Pacific remains one of the most dynamic and fastest growing regions in the world, although growth is slowing. In the medium term, supporting high growth will require reforms to maintain industrial competitiveness, diversify trading partners, and release the potential for productivity gains and job creation in the services sector. "

In its report, the Bank for the World Economy also noted the strong growth'''It could take several years or even decades for the real estate sector to recover. The problem is that too much housing has been built for the Chinese. The urbanization process in China, which has continued very rapidly in the past 10 years, is slowing down. "

The real estate market in the country has been in trouble for months as major real estate companies Evergrande and Country Garden are in serious debt problems.

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The former company, in default since 2021 and with more than $300 billion in debt, recently suspended its stock market activities following the arrest of founder and chairman Hui Ka Yang. Country Garden is also in a difficult situation, but it avoided bankruptcy after''s Sept. 5 payments totaling $22.5 million in interest.

Hong noted that two years ago, Chinese real estate properties worth 18 trillion yuan ($2.46 trillion) were sold. In his opinion, if the real estate market can generate 10 trillion yuan this year or 5-6 trillion yuan of sales in the future, it will be considered a success.

China's new home prices fell 0.3% in August from the previous month, continuing the decline in the real estate market. This also marks a 0.1% year-on-year decline. The country's current retail sales trend is more stable compared to the pre-pandemic period. This phenomenon can be attributed to a variety of factors including lower home prices, less strong growth in household income, increased

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