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Low family wages are ordering fewer home loans

Low family wages are ordering fewer home loans

Those with incomes of less than 2 thousand euros are the most interested, making up 41% of bank loan applications to the idealist/credit-habitat in the summer of 2023, as the published report shows. They are followed by families earning between 2 and 4 thousand euros a month, who make up 34% of applications. However, high interest does not translate into the same level of transactions, especially among low-income families.

Families earning less than 2 thousand euros accounted for just 9% of the total number of mortgage deals concluded between July and September 2023. This is significantly less than a year earlier (third quarter of 2022), when low-income families made up 32% of the total number of mortgages arranged. And it is also much lower than the previous quarter (when they made up 23% of''solvency. This reality changed on October 16 with the decision of the Portuguese Bank (BdP) to lower the simulated interest rate hike from 3% to 1.5%, which presumably will ease access to credit;

  • purchasing power continues to be pressured by inflation (although the rate is falling in Portugal, from 9.3% in September 2022 to 3.6% in the same month this year);
  • the difficulty of accumulating the necessary savings for a down payment on a mortgage loan and to cover the costs associated with buying a house (contract, taxes, etc.);
  • the difference between the home's appraisal and sale price: typically, mortgages are made at the lowest value between the property's appraisal and the sale price. If the appraisal is lower than the price, it''means families will have to contribute more of their own money for a down payment and to cover the final cost.
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    What are the characteristics of new mortgages?

    The low number of originated mortgages among low-income families may explain the profile of originated loans in the third quarter of 2023, which is characterized as follows:

    • The average family income amounted to €5,657 per month, higher than the average wage a year earlier (+11%) and compared to the previous quarter (+17%);
    • the average purchase price of a house amounted to 261,821 euros, up 1%''more than in the third quarter of 2022. Compared to the second quarter of 2023, the average value increased by 26%;
    • The average value of mortgages concluded amounted to €171,435, down 2% from a year earlier but 22% higher than in the previous quarter.

    Therefore, since there were fewer low-income families (less than 2 thousand euros per month) taking out mortgages in the summer of 2023, we can conclude that those who take out loans have more purchasing power and can therefore afford to buy more expensive homes, borrow a higher amount or save more equity for a down payment on a mortgage. It is also worth noting that "the share of fixed-rate loans is increasing by''compared to variable rate loans, accounting for 52% of the total, up from 28% in the third quarter of 2022,' the report points out. This is because 'the stability offered by mixed/fixed rates makes many customers defensive, given the uncertainty of the market', besides, 'there are mixed/fixed rate offers that are cheaper than variable rate offers at the beginning of the mortgage loan', as Miguel Cabrita, in charge of idealist/credithubbing in Portugal, explained in an interview.

    There were also other changes noticed in the conclusion of mortgages in the third quarter of 2023. First of all, the purchase of primary residences continues to account for the majority of the concluded''transactions (almost 40%), but is no longer the majority.

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    Those who took out a loan to buy a main home preferred to borrow a larger amount (average 179,527 euros) for a slightly lower house purchase price (260,860 euros). In these cases, most families (around 51%) preferred 80% to 90% financing. Loans arranged by non-residents continue to increase their share compared to the previous quarter (28.5% vs. 23.4%), as well as transfers (23.8% vs. 7.8%). On the other hand, the purchase of secondary housing has lost importance (8.5% in summer 2023 compared to 11.7% last summer). Still, the prevalence of mortgage lending for amounts less than 200 thousand euros continues (76.2% of the total) - although they have lost ground compared to the previous quarter''(85,7%). About 12.3% of the transactions conducted through idealist/credit-hubbing are in the range of 200 thousand to 300 thousand euros. And 6.2% of contracts for amounts between 300 thousand and 400 thousand euros. The remaining 5% relate to contracts for amounts above 400 thousand euros.

    What is the profile of those who take out mortgages?

    Before granting a mortgage loan, banks analyze the profile of buyers, paying attention to age, professional status and income in order to calculate the term, the ability to pay and the amount of the loan. In this way, banks also ensure that families have the financial ability to pay the loan payments until the end of the contract.

    This is a profile of families who entered into mortgages through idealist/credithubbing in the third quarter of 2023''years:

    • 77.8% of transactions are in the 25 to 45 age group (up from 70.4% a year earlier);
    • the average age of buyers fell from 39 to 38 in just 12 months (the new age-related deadlines defined by the Bank of Portugal may have helped);
    • stable employment: around 88% of families have permanent employment contracts and 6% are civil servants;

    It is also worth noting that those with incomes above 2 thousand euros and below 4 thousand euros per month tend to have lower levels of indebtedness. However, among low-income families (under €2,000 per month) - although they account for only 9% - the average indebtedness in the third quarter of 2023 was 25%, lower than in''the same period last year (29%) and equal to the average contract backlog overall.

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