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** "Real estate risk in Zurich - the highest in the world"

** "Real estate risk in Zurich - the highest in the world"

** "Real estate risk in Zurich - the highest in the world"

The risk of a bubble in the real estate market has significantly decreased worldwide, but Zurich and Tokyo remain at risk. According to the2023 Global Real Estate Bubble Index published on Wednesday by UBS Global Real Estate, while nine out of25 cities studied were at risk last year, only two remain this year: Zurich and Tokyo. With a bubble risk score of1.71, Zurich tops the ranking, ahead of Tokyo (1.65), with the bubble risk starting from1.5.

The cities of Toronto, Frankfurt, Munich, Hong Kong, Vancouver, Amsterdam, and Tel Aviv have bid farewell to the risk zone over the past year. The researchers link the decrease in risks primarily to the decline in real estate prices. Inflation-adjusted average prices have declined by5% in the cities under study since mid-2022. "Many cities have lost the gains in prices that they had acquired during the pandemic. On average, real prices have now almost returned to the level of mid-2020", says Claudio Saputelli, Head of Real Estate at the Zurich office of UBS Global Wealth Management.

Besides high inflation in many countries, the decrease in prices is also due to a significant increase in interest rates.

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Real estate prices are likely to continue to decline in the long term, and the risk will also decrease again, indicates the report. Zurich is one of the few cities where real estate prices are still expected to rise in2023, although not as fast as in previous years. Buyers are now paying40% more for real estate than they were ten years ago, while rental payments have increased by only12% over the same period. Due to a significant imbalance between purchase prices and rents, there is still a risk of a bubble. However, the gap has recently narrowed as rental payments have been growing faster than real estate prices in recent quarters. With an increase in market supply due to higher interest rates, analysts do not expect further price increases in Zurich in the near future. According to UBS experts, the risk of a bubble will gradually decrease in the coming years..

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