Buildings don't disappear. but the owners are. Buffett and Munger on the U.S. real estate storm and safe haven''.
according to a report by consulting firm McKinsey. The report predicts that because of these trends and other factors, demand for office space could be nearly 20 percent lower by 2030 than in 2019.
The implications for landlords and lenders
This is bad news for commercial landlords and even worse news for their lenders. Munger noted in an interview with the Financial Times in April that the commercial real estate sector in the U.S. is "awash" with "bad loans." Rising interest rates, falling rents and a corresponding decline in real estate values could cause these loans to become unsecured, meaning the balance owed will exceed the value of the property itself.
The Berkshire Hathaway strategy
This pain, however, is not necessarily''means opportunity for investors, as Munger noted. "Berkshire has never been active in commercial real estate," Manger said during a question-and-answer session with CNBC's Becky Kuik at the annual shareholder meeting in May. "It works better for taxpayers than it does for corporations like Berkshire.
26 October
Instead of focusing on commercial real estate, Berkshire Hathaway is heavily involved in residential real estate and has added stakes in several construction companies in recent months. The company's portfolio now includes significant positions in D.R. Horton, Lennar and NVR. A potential explosion in residential construction could benefit all of these companies.
Housing shortage
According to the National Association of Realtors, there is a shortage''housing from 5.5 million to 6.8 million units. That's because more new households have been created than new homes have been built in the past decade since the Great Financial Crisis. Now that prices for building materials have fallen and demand remains stable, investors are betting on a boom in home construction.
Opportunities for investorsSmall investors can also become participants in this segment of the market through a publicly traded homebuilder or SPDR Homebuilder ETF.
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Small investors can also become participants in this segment of the market through a publicly traded homebuilder or SPDR Homebuilder ETF.
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