has aggressively raised interest rates, increasing the cost of financing commercial real estate at a time when demand is also shrinking, which is having an impact on rents.

Investors are expecting a collapse in commercial real estate prices, according to a recent survey. Investors are preparing for a possible crisis caused by a default on $1.5 trillion in debt that will reach its maturity by the end of 2025. According to Trepp, about $270 billion of commercial loans are due to be repaid by banks in 2023. Morgan Stanley analysts said commercial real estate will need to repay debts over the next four years, peaking at $550 billion in 2027.

Earlier this month, a study conducted by economists''from NYU Stern Business School, Columbia Business School and the National Bureau of Economic Research, showed that the unemployment rate has reached its highest level in 30 years in many U.S. cities. In New York City, the vacancy rate was 22.2 percent in the first quarter of 2023. Office buildings in cities like San Francisco have remained empty in the era of remote work.

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Office buildings in New York City - the largest commercial real estate market in the world - lost $76 billion in value from recent sales, according to brokerage JLL.

Blackstone and RXR sold an office building on the Avenue of the Americas for $320 million - a third less from the original price in 2006. Real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield recently predicted that there could be 1' of unused office space in the U.S. by 2030'billion square feet. The New York Reserve announced earlier this year that it is unclear when or if the commercial real estate sector will be able to return to its previous strength.

Investors are preparing for a possible crisis caused by defaults on $1.5 trillion in debt coming due in the next three years. "While the residential rental market has rebounded, the market for office and retail space remains weak, largely due to the shift to telecommuting and online shopping," the bank said on its website. Commercial rents in Manhattan have declined significantly from pre-pandemic levels, and "this weakening trend may continue as more and more commercial tenants finalize leases'''agreements that were entered into during a period of higher demand for office and retail space'.

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