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'House prices are falling in Europe, but not for long'

'House prices are falling in Europe, but not for long'

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Цены на жилье падают в Европе, но не надолго

According to Eurostat, house prices in the eurozone fell by 1.7% year-on-year and in the European Union by 1.1% in the second quarter of 2023.

The long-term trend in Europe's real estate market is changing: On average, homes cost less than they did last year, but quarterly figures suggest the decline may not last. The value of European homes fell in the second quarter of 2023 compared with the same period last year - the first time since 2014 - according to Eurostat, the European Union's statistics office. The house value index fell by 1.7% in the eurozone and 1.1% in the EU in the second quarter of 2023 compared with the same period a year earlier. These figures follow''after annualized increases of 0.4% and 0.8% in the euro area and EU, respectively, registered in the first quarter of this year. However, prices started to rise quarter-on-quarter: by 0.1% in the euro area and 0.3% in the EU between April and June 2023. Since 2022 itself, housing costs have fallen for two consecutive quarters: by 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2022 and by 0.7% in the first quarter of this year, before seeing a slight increase in the second quarter of 2023.

Which countries experienced the largest price declines?

Nine EU countries saw house prices fall in the second quarter of 2023 compared to the previous year, but in the other 17 member states house prices continue to rise. The largest annual decline was recorded in Germany at 9.9%, followed by''followed by Denmark - 7.6% and Sweden - 6.8%. Croatia experienced the largest increase in house prices with 13.7%, followed by Bulgaria with 10.7% and Lithuania with 9.4%.

The cost of rent continues to rise steadily.

In the second quarter of 2023, rents in the EU rose by 0.7% compared to the previous three months.

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On average, rents were 3% more expensive compared to the same period of the previous year. The figures show a constant increase every quarter. In the last quarter of 2022, rents rose at an annualized rate of 2.5% and in the first quarter of 2023, rents rose by 2.9%. Between 2010 and the second quarter of 2023, house prices rose by 46% and rents by 21% in the EU, according to Eurostat. Comparing the second quarter of 2023 with 2010, house prices increased in 20 of the 27 EU countries by more than''rental values. House prices more than doubled in Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Czech Republic, Luxembourg and Austria, but small decreases were recorded in Greece, Italy and Cyprus. In terms of rents, prices increased in 26 EU countries, with the largest increases in Estonia (+208%) and Lithuania (+168%). The only decrease in rental prices was recorded in Greece (-21%).

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