'Real estate needs more homes at an unusual time.'
's Lisbon Exhibition Center (FIL), idealista/news portal surveyed the industry participants present at the event to "gauge the pulse" of the market. It is currently difficult to make long-term predictions, but real estate experts believe that the market is at a 'strange' moment, constrained by the current macroeconomic and geopolitical context. After the overheating of recent years and the post-pandemic "boom", they say, we are moving towards a scenario of market stabilization and normalization. And they point out that 2022 is seen as a possible start of a new cycle. Everyone agrees that Portugal is experiencing a housing crisis. However, according to real estate experts, it is a structural problem, not just an opportunistic one. And presented by the government''The 'More Housing' program is far from convincing. It is not, according to intermediaries, the right way to address the problems facing the market and, on the contrary, may support instability and investor mistrust.
The real estate business remains active (and attractive), that's for sure. Despite a decline in transactions nationally, especially early in the year, demand remains strong and there are lucrative business opportunities. The decision process is becoming longer, so the average time to sell a property is increasing, meaning the market needs more time to absorb homes. However, despite possible adjustments, home prices should remain stable (and increase, albeit more slowly),''as the product is still not enough. The diagnosis is unambiguous: Portugal needs more housing.
Where is the real estate market heading?
27 February
Home buying: a drop in transactions at the start of the year. Despite the problems identified, Portugal is in a very different situation than in the past. "The ghost" of the Troika and the context we are in now are not comparable, according to intermediaries. Real estate offers more security and the country is less vulnerable: low unemployment, more liquidity and low loan defaults, especially due to the strict rules set by the Portuguese Bank (BdP). But where is the industry headed?
Ricardo Souza of Century 21 Portugal recognizes that the market has been 'clearly' slowing down since the beginning of the last quarter of 2021.''Like some other participants, he points to a decline in transactions in the first quarter of 2023 compared to last year, which, at least for now, should continue. The market is 'slowly absorbing housing', although business activity is clearly present. The CEO of C21 explains, for example, that "the financial burden for those who are accessing for the first time, that is, young people and families who want to buy their first home in the Lisbon and Porto Agglomeration, or in the Algarve, is enormous. We are talking about interest rates above 45/50%. And we need to remember that loan terms have shortened. So, the loan time is shorter, the interest rates are rising, and the payment is increasing. I can't buy the houses that are on the market.".
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