Property Abroad
Blog
'Turkey's high inflation is driving home sales'

'Turkey's high inflation is driving home sales'

'

Высокая инфляция в Турции стимулирует продажи жилья.

The prices of real estate in Turkey have risen sharply due to a number of factors, including the demand of rich people for property to protect their savings from inflation, which has reached an annual rate of nearly 50%. Demand in the housing market has outpaced price increases by 10 percentage points above inflation, pushing prices even higher. Meanwhile, supply has fallen due to a slowdown in new investment, a result of rising costs in the construction sector.

Pressured by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan

The Turkish Central Bank cut its interest rate by 500 basis points in the last four months of 2021, despite rising inflation and at the expense of contributing to the fall of the Turkish lira. The interest rate cut led to the December''it amounted to 14%, while annual consumer inflation reached 36% and manufacturing inflation at the end of the year almost 80%. The contrarian policies provoked a flight into hard currency and gold as real yields on the lira became deeply negative. Those who invested their money in hard currency and gold were not only able to offset the impact of inflation, but also realized real returns. According to January data from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK), the U.S. dollar made the highest real return of 23% for the year, followed by gold (bullion) with 19.7% and the euro with 14.5%, while those who relied on deposit interest and government bonds suffered losses of 22.75% and 32.7%, respectively. It is for this reason that many''have turned to buying real estate to protect their savings from inflation. Home sales are already up in 2020 and did not lose momentum last year, even as prices rose by 60%. In Istanbul, Turkey's largest city with a 63% annual price increase, the average price of an apartment per square meter is 121% higher than in the capital Ankara and 34% higher than in the third largest city Izmir. 'year. The nearly 60 percent gain in 2021 exceeded inflation by 24 percentage points, meaning that those who invested in housing made at least as much profit as those who relied on the U.S. dollar. And while government interventions have tried to prop up the lira and thus contain the dollar's rise since December, nothing has been able to keep real estate prices from rising.

Recommended real estate
Купить flat в Turkey 299000$

Sale flat in Istanbul 299 000,00 $

1 Bedroom

1 Bathroom

64 м²

Купить penthouse в Turkey 292000€

Sale penthouse in Mahmutlar with sea view 312 137,00 $

3 Bedrooms

2 Bathrooms

152 м²

Купить flat в Turkey 211874£

Sale flat in Mahmutlar 267 886,00 $

4 Bedrooms

5 Bathrooms

235 м²

Купить house в Turkey 40618£

Sale house in Istanbul 51 356,00 $

1 Bedroom

1 Bathroom

24 м²

Купить flat в Turkey 415000$

Sale flat in Istanbul 415 000,00 $

2 Bedrooms

0 м²

Купить villa в Turkey 422661£

Sale villa in Avsallar 534 398,00 $

4 Bedrooms

4 Bathrooms

275 м²

A larger share of savings is increasingly being channeled into the housing sector, pushing prices upwards. Demand is only expected to increase until inflation starts to fall. Another major factor pushing up house prices is the slowdown in the country's construction sector, which had been successful until a few years ago and had become a hallmark of almost two decades'Erdogan's 'rule. According to the TUIC, construction costs, including materials and labor, rose 68% in 2021 after rising 25% in 2020 and 10% in 2019. Prices of building materials alone rose 85% last year, not to mention exorbitant land prices in big cities. All of these factors portend a prolonged slowdown in housing production and a continued rise in real estate prices. Rising home prices are discouraging demand for loans, as few are willing to take on large debts amid the economic uncertainty gripping the country. In 2020, mortgage loan volume increased 37% and sales with mortgages accounted for 38% of all condo sales. Last year, mortgage loans rose just 8% to 273 billion liras, and''half of wages in Turkey. The annual increase in rental value per square meter was 62.2% in Ankara and 56% in Izmir. Rental prices also rose in real terms, not only in the three largest cities but also across the country, providing a significant incentive to invest in housing. Another important indicator is the purchase of real estate by foreigners, which Ankara is trying to promote by granting Turkish citizenship to those who buy a property worth at least $250,000 and retain ownership for at least three years. Foreigner purchase accounted for 4.7% of all home sales in 2021, which is about 4,000 apartments. Alien real estate transactions, including homes and other properties, are valued at about $4 billion according''Central Bank. Foreign buyers, mainly from the Middle East and Russia, contributed to demand, attracted by both the citizenship incentive and the depreciation of the lira, which made purchases cheaper for those buying real estate for hard currency.

'

Comment