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'$2 billion investment in Italian real estate in 1H 2023'

'$2 billion investment in Italian real estate in 1H 2023'

'premium rates in key markets to rise along with the general inflationary dynamics of the last two years. The new premium rental rate in Italy is €65 per square meter per annum, in line with the markets of Milan, Rome and Bologna. There are also increases in the markets of Piacenza (€55 per square meter per year) and Verona (€52 per square meter per year), while Turin remains at €50 per square meter per year.

Compared to other asset classes, the housing sector is declining slightly with investment volumes of 106 million euros in the second quarter and a total of around 301 million in the first half of the year, indicating investor interest in the sector.

From a residential market perspective''real estate in Italy, the number of normalized transactions (Ntn) in the first quarter of 2023 was 166 thousand, which means a decrease of 8% compared to the same period of 2022. This decrease is also reflected in the Milan market (-23% compared to Q1 2022), although it is worth noting that the first quarter of last year recorded an absolute positive record and compared to historical data of the last decade, Q1 2023 is the third best result with an increase of 5% compared to Q1 2022.

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Moreover, this decline mainly concerns peripheral and/or low-quality properties, in contrast to the stability of sales in new construction projects.

Rome also registered a slight decrease in Ntn (-10%), but, as in the case of Milan,''Compared to data for the 2012-2022 period, the first quarter of 2023 is the third best. High levels of liquidity and volumes declining only compared to the exceptional performance of 2022 suggest that the market can be expected to stabilize rather than decline. However, given the trend in interest rates, it is necessary to wait for transaction data and the state of fundamentals in the coming quarters to better understand the actual market behavior.

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