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Foreclosures Jump to Six-Year High as US Homeowners Face Rising Insurance and Tax Bills

Foreclosures Jump to Six-Year High as US Homeowners Face Rising Insurance and Tax Bills

Foreclosures Jump to Six-Year High as US Homeowners Face Rising Insurance and Tax Bills

Foreclosures rise back to pre-pandemic norms — and that matters for buyers and investors

Real estate in the USA is showing strains that many expected would take longer to appear after the pandemic-era pause on foreclosures. New data show foreclosure activity climbed sharply in the first quarter of 2025, pushing levels to what used to be considered normal before COVID relief programs flattened the curve.

The snapshot is stark: nearly 119,000 properties had a foreclosure filing in Q1 2025, a 26% increase year-over-year, and the highest quarterly tally since Q1 2020, according to Attom, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. Our analysis finds that this is less a calamity than a correction back to pre-pandemic behavior — but it still signals stress among a subset of homeowners, especially where holding costs have spiked.

Why this story matters to buyers, owners and investors

We think this trend changes the calculus for several groups:

  • For buyers, rising carrying costs and the prospect of more foreclosures should sharpen due diligence on property tax trends and insurance costs.
  • For owners, especially those who purchased during the past few years at higher mortgage rates, the risk of being underwater is real if local values fall.
  • For investors, more foreclosure filings mean supply may rise in some markets, but that supply comes with financial, legal and renovation risks.

I’ll walk through the numbers, the causes, who is most exposed, what relief options remain, and pragmatic steps market participants should consider.

The data: clear increases in filings and household bills

The most widely cited figures are these: ~119,000 foreclosure filings in Q1 2025, up 26% from Q1 2024, per Attom. That level is the highest since the first quarter of 2020, when pandemic mortgage relief measures had sharply reduced foreclosure activity.

Other mounting household costs are part of the story:

  • Average annual homeowners insurance rose to $2,948 in 2025, an increase of 12% from 2024, according to Insurify.
  • Average property tax burdens rose to $4,427, up 3%, based on Attom data.
  • The average monthly payment on all outstanding U.S. mortgages reached a record $2,005 in Q4 2024, per Realtor.com; the average payment for new buyers first crossed the $2,000 threshold in September 2022.

These figures matter because many borrowers face escalating non-mortgage carrying costs that feed into escrow accounts or must be paid out of pocket. When insurance and property tax bills jump, cash-strapped owners can quickly fall behind.

What's driving the uptick in foreclosures?

Several linked forces are at play, and we should separate cause from correlation.

  • Elevated carrying costs. Steeper homeowners insurance and property tax bills raise the monthly and annual cash burden. Insurance rates have risen in several states because of weather-related losses, reinsurance costs and underwriting changes; property tax increases reflect reassessments in hotter markets and rising municipal budgets.

  • Mortgage-rate effects and purchase timing. Many homeowners who bought in the last few years did so when rates were already elevated relative to the rock-bottom rates available earlier this decade. Those buyers face higher payments and in some metro areas have seen home values soften, creating negative equity for a subset of borrowers.

  • End of pandemic-era relief. For several years the federal government and agencies provided pause-button policies that reduced foreclosures and forced sales. Those programs expired or were scaled back, removing a safety net for owners in trouble.

  • Market normalization. Part of the increase is a return to pre-COVID norms. The bottom was artificially low during the pandemic; returning to typical foreclosure volumes can look alarming even if broader household finances are not collapsing.

I find the most persuasive explanation is a mix: a partial return to normal plus localized financial pressure where taxes, insurance and dues rose fastest.

Who is most at risk?

Not all homeowners face the same exposure. The groups I worry about most are:

  • Recent buyers who financed at high rates and paid top dollar in overheated pockets. If local values fall, they can be underwater quickly.
  • Owners with thin reserves or who were stretched on monthly budgets before tax and insurance hikes.
  • Renters-turned-owners who miscalculated carrying costs or counted on rising rents to offset payments.
  • Borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages that reset upward, though most of the legacy reset risk has passed since interest-rate volatility slowed.

Conversely, many long-term owners with low fixed rates remain insulated from payment shocks. As the Realtor.com data show, a large share of the mortgage portfolio still carries rates well below today’s originations.

Relief options have narrowed — what changed in loss mitigation

A critical factor shaping outcomes is the availability of workout options. During the pandemic a range of forbearance and modification paths kept people in their homes. Many of those options are no longer as accessible.

A notable policy change: the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) now limits homeowners to a loan modification to avoid foreclosure only once every 24 months. That rule change reduces flexibility for FHA borrowers who need repeated help.

Other channels remain, but they are more constrained:

  • Loan modification programs still exist at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and private servicers, but underwriting is stricter today.
  • Short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure are available but often reduce net proceeds to sellers and affect credit.
  • Nonprofit housing counselors approved by HUD can help negotiate with servicers; we recommend involving them early.

The bottom line: homeowners who face trouble will find fewer one-size-fits-all relief options than in 2020–2022, so early action matters.

What investors should read from these trends

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real estate — whether directly in rental properties, through REITs, or in distressed assets — this wave of foreclosure filings changes portfolio strategy.

Opportunities:

  • Increased inventory in targeted markets may lower acquisition prices for investors willing to buy and renovate distressed properties.
  • Lenders and servicers may offer nonperforming loan pools or REOs at discounts in selected regions.

Risks and cautions:

  • Foreclosure inventory is uneven. Local markets with rising insurance or tax burdens will show the weakest performance, and investors must model those carrying costs and potential remediation expenses.
  • Buying foreclosures carries hidden costs: title issues, liens, deferred maintenance, and longer timeframes to clear and resell.
  • A flood of REO supply could depress values in weaker metros, pressuring rental markets and operating yields.

Practical suggestions for investors:

  • Focus on markets with stable job growth and balanced supply-demand dynamics rather than chasing headline foreclosure counts.
  • Price in higher insurance and tax costs when underwriting deals.
  • Keep liquidity for renovation and hold periods; distressed purchases often require more capital than turn-key acquisitions.

Advice for homebuyers and current owners

If you’re thinking of buying or currently own a home, here are concrete steps to reduce your exposure.

For prospective buyers:

  • Run the numbers with realistic carrying-cost assumptions. Don’t assume taxes or insurance will stay flat.
  • Check recent property tax reassessments in the municipality and the local trend for insurance premiums.
  • Consider larger down payments to reduce the odds of negative equity if local values fall.

For current owners:

  • Re-examine your escrow account and projected tax/insurance bills. Budget for increases and set aside reserves.
  • If you’re slipping on payments, contact your servicer early and consult a HUD-approved counselor.
  • Explore refinancing only if it materially improves your payment and you can justify closing costs.

These are practical steps rooted in experience; they don’t eliminate risk, but they make a stressful situation more manageable.

Regional patterns and the uneven nature of the uptick

The national figures mask strong regional variation. The increase in foreclosure filings is concentrated in places where carrying costs jumped or prices cooled, and in metros that experienced overbuilding relative to population growth in recent years. A few observations we can make from reporting and sector data:

  • Coastal and Sun Belt metros with exposure to natural disaster risk have seen steeper insurance premium increases.
  • Sun Belt tax-growth pockets and fast-growing suburbs face higher property tax bills as municipalities expand services.
  • Some markets that cooled after pandemic-era price surges have more owners at risk of negative equity.

Investors and buyers must look at county-level data from Attom and local assessor offices rather than relying on national headlines alone.

What to watch next: indicators that will matter

We will be monitoring several metrics closely over the next 12–18 months:

  • Quarterly foreclosure filing counts from Attom and other data providers.
  • Trends in homeowners insurance premiums by state and insurer filings with state regulators.
  • Local property tax reassessment cycles and municipal budget pressures.
  • Mortgage delinquency rates and servicer loss-mitigation throughput.

If these indicators move sharply upward together — more delinquency, larger insurance hikes, and escalating tax bills — that would signal deeper trouble. For now, the pattern looks like a normalization with important local hot spots.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Is the current rise in foreclosures a national housing crash?
A: No. The increase to ~119,000 filings in Q1 2025 is a return toward pre-pandemic norms after relief measures suppressed filings. That said, concentrated distress exists where taxes, insurance and dues jumped or where recent buyers face falling values.

Q: Are rising insurance and property taxes the main causes of the uptick?
A: They are major contributors. Homeowners insurance averaged $2,948 in 2025, up 12%, and property taxes averaged $4,427, up 3%, according to Insurify and Attom. These cost increases push some marginal households into delinquency.

Q: What relief options do struggling homeowners have now?
A: Options exist but are narrower than during the pandemic. Servicers still offer loan modifications and loss-mitigation programs, but eligibility is stricter. FHA limits certain modifications to once every 24 months. Early contact with a servicer and a HUD-approved counselor is critical.

Q: Should investors buy foreclosures now?
A: Buying foreclosures can yield discounts, but you must underwrite higher carrying costs, title risks and renovation needs. Focus on markets with strong fundamentals and factor in longer holding periods.

Bottom line

The uptick in foreclosure filings to nearly 119,000 in Q1 2025 is a meaningful signal that the housing market is shedding pandemic-era distortion and moving back toward historical norms. For many owners, the immediate pressure comes from rising homeowners insurance and property taxes rather than a sudden breakdown in incomes. That means local conditions matter more than national headlines: buyers and investors should zoom in on county-level tax trends, insurance markets and price performance. If you own a home, check your escrow projections today; if you invest, assume higher operating costs when you underwrite deals. The detail to remember is concrete: the average monthly mortgage payment for outstanding loans hit $2,005 in Q4 2024, a record that changes affordability math for whole cohorts of buyers and owners.

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