How AI and a Major Settlement Are Shaking Up Real Estate in the USA

A legal change and AI are changing the rules for real estate in the USA
The real estate USA market is being rewired by two forces: a legal settlement that altered how buyer-agent commissions are disclosed and collected, and fast-moving artificial intelligence tools that are inserting automation into every step of a transaction. These shifts are not theoretical. They are already changing how people buy, sell, and finance homes — and they can cut tens of thousands of dollars from the typical cost of a residential deal.
I have tracked technology shifts in property markets for years, and this one is significant because it combines regulatory pressure with commercially viable AI products. The result is a concrete set of options for buyers and sellers, and new operational risks for lenders and brokers.
What changed in August 2024 and why it matters
In August 2024 a settlement stemming from antitrust litigation involving the National Association of REALTORS (NAR) changed long-standing industry customs. One practical outcome is that a buyer must often sign a contract with a buyer's agent before touring a house, and agents commonly stipulate the full 3% buyer-agent commission when they sign those agreements.
Why that matters:
- For decades, the U.S. real estate market used a seller-paid commission model that often aggregated to 6% of the sale price (typically 3% to the seller's agent and 3% to the buyer's agent).
- The settlement removes a degree of opacity and puts pressure on how commissions are negotiated and disclosed.
- That pressure creates an opening for lower-cost, technology-enabled models that split the buyer-agent fee differently or refund parts of it to buyers.
The settlement did not eliminate agents. It did, however, make the buyer-agent relationship more explicit and provided the legal conditions that startups and established firms are now exploiting with AI.
How AI is being used to buy houses: Homa and the 1% model
One of the earliest and most discussed entrants is Homa, an AI-led buyer's agent that is live in Florida and preparing to expand to Texas within weeks, with California and Georgia expected by the end of the year. Homa combines automated analysis with a network of local agents who conduct in-person showings.
Key points about the Homa model:
- Homa positions itself as an AI-powered buyer's agent that charges 1% of the buyer's commission and refunds the remainder to the buyer when the seller pays the commission.
- Example from Homa's public explanation: on a $500,000 home with a 3% buyer-agent commission ($15,000), Homa keeps $5,000 and refunds $10,000 to the buyer. That refunded amount can be used to lower closing costs or buy down mortgage interest.
- The company uses an "Uber-style" network of local showing agents for walkthroughs, which buyers have told Homa they like because it avoids putting pressure on a single agent's time.
- Homa's in-house negotiators are paid a flat fee, which the company says reduces the incentive to push for a higher sale price.
From an investor or buyer perspective, that structure translates to immediate, visible savings on transaction costs. It also shifts the buyer's relationship with their agent: less personal, more transactional, and more reliant on platform-provided negotiation and documentation support.
Sellers and DIY AI tools: how to sell with AI support
On the selling side, AI already has practical use cases that ordinary homeowners can access. One high-profile example is a Florida seller who used ChatGPT to plan repairs, write marketing materials, and assemble an MLS listing. He reported several offers within 72 hours and a signed contract in five days.
Low-cost services and what they offer:
- Companies like Beycome allow sellers to list on MLS for a flat fee. The service advertises a basic MLS listing for $99, with title and escrow services available for an additional $99. Beycome claims sellers can save up to 6% by avoiding traditional commissions.
- ChatGPT and similar large language models are used to draft listing copy, prepare seller marketing, and suggest cost-effective improvements that can raise saleability.
- AI-driven virtual staging and photo enhancement tools can present a more polished listing quickly; buyers should remember that some enhancements can be misleading and may create expectancy mismatches at inspection.
For sellers who are comfortable managing details and legal paperwork, these tools can cut the commission bill sharply. The trade-off is more personal time spent handling escrow, title, and negotiation — or paying fixed-fee professionals for those functions.
AI in mortgage lending: Tinman and why accuracy matters
AI is not just changing how homes are bought and sold; it is altering how mortgages are underwritten. Better, a well-known digital mortgage lender, has for years used a machine-learning engine called Tinman to automate underwriting and process steps. According to Better's CEO Vishal Garg, the company layered large language model orchestration on top of Tinman to manage process flow and communications.
Important data points:
- Better claims its cost to produce a mortgage is close to $2,000, compared with an industry average effort closer to $10,000.
- Garg says conventional large language models make calculation errors at a high rate if used naively (he cites roughly 50% error rates for raw LLM arithmetic and even higher error rates for complex, recursive calculations). For mortgages, a near-zero error rate is required.
- Better says its Tinman engine does the math and rule application, while LLMs are used for orchestration, and that this approach yields "zero errors" in the math and rules application.
What this means for buyers and investors:
- Faster, cheaper mortgages can lower closing costs and reduce the time risk between offer and closing.
- Automated underwriting can increase throughput for lenders, but it introduces operational risk if models are not correctly validated and audited.
- Borrowers should continue to get written, lender-certified calculations for debt-to-income (DTI) and other key ratios instead of relying solely on an app-generated preapproval screenshot.
Who wins and who loses: incumbents, agents, buyers, and platforms
This is not a tidy disruption where one side wins and another disappears. I expect a prolonged, uneven transition.
Winners likely include:
- Consumers who are comfortable with guided technology and willing to replace some personalized services with platform workflows; they can capture direct refunds or lower fees.
- Tech-first brokerages and mortgage lenders that invest in accurate machine learning and process automation.
Potential losers or losers-at-risk include:
- Traditional agents who resist fee compression and remain paid only on percentage-based commissions. The industry-wide inertia is strong because many agents are independent contractors (1099) and can choose to work where commission structures favor them.
- Buyers or sellers who assume AI eliminates professional oversight; inadequate legal or title work can produce costly mistakes.
Agents will not disappear. Licensed agents still must perform negotiation and execute contracts. But their role is likely to shift from a commission-maximizing salesperson to a negotiator and compliance guardian. Flat fees and salaried models for certain duties are becoming tangible options.
Practical advice for buyers and investors — how to use AI without getting burned
Here is how to approach AI-enabled property services in the current U.S. market.
- Compare total costs. Look beyond headline percentages. If a platform refunds part of the commission, confirm whether the refund requires concessions on price or specific contract terms.
- Verify calculations. For mortgage offers, insist on lender-signed calculations for DTI, loan-to-value (LTV), and closing costs. AI-generated numbers should be treated as provisional.
- Check licensing and local rules. Real estate is state-regulated.
For investors buying multiple properties, the savings on commissions and streamlined mortgages can improve margins, but only if the processes are scalable and reliable. Test one transaction before committing a large acquisition strategy to a single platform.
Regulatory and operational risks to watch
Several risks could slow adoption or create new headaches.
- Model risk: LLMs and machine-learning models can behave unpredictably if not thoroughly validated. Mortgage calculations and legal forms require near-perfect accuracy.
- Regulatory scrutiny: State real estate commissions, consumer-protection agencies, and federal regulators could expand oversight of AI-driven mortgage and brokerage services.
- Market reaction: Traditional brokerages could respond with price competition or restructured compensation packages for agents to retain talent.
- Consumer confusion: New fee models increase the need for consumer education. Misunderstandings about commission refunds, who pays for what, and who handles title work can lead to disputes.
These are not theoretical issues. They are practical problems that I expect to generate litigation and regulatory guidance in the next 12 to 36 months.
How this could change average costs in the U.S. housing market
Industry observers point out that total brokerage commissions are commonly around 2% in many other developed countries. The U.S. average has been roughly 6% because the previous compensation structure bundled buyer and seller agent fees into a seller-paid model.
If AI-fueled platforms and legal changes pressure commissions lower, we could see a meaningful decline in transaction costs. That will matter to buyers and sellers, to mortgage lenders who price origination, and to investors who run cost-sensitive models.
But expect the shift to be uneven. Some markets — high-volume, tech-savvy urban areas — will adopt new models faster. Rural and tight-supply markets could lag because buyers and sellers in those markets place higher value on local agent relationships.
Our read: what buyers and investors should do next
We recommend the following practical steps:
- If you are buying now, get at least one AI-enabled platform quote (for example, an app that refunds commission or a lender using an automated engine) and compare that to a traditional agent's total-fee proposal.
- For mortgages, ask lenders to explain how AI is used and to provide auditable calculations for underwriting outcomes; do not accept an oral assurance alone.
- If you are an agent or broker, pilot fixed-fee and salaried compensation models for transaction coordinators and negotiators to see whether you can both cut costs for clients and preserve agent income.
- For investors, run sensitivity analyses that reduce transaction and financing costs using the lower figures that AI platforms claim; then stress-test those models against model-failure scenarios and regulatory changes.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Will AI replace licensed real estate agents? A: No. Licensed agents are still required to execute contracts and negotiate. AI will change their duties and pay structures, but agents will remain necessary for certain tasks that require legal authority and human negotiation.
Q: Can I really get money back from a commission? How does that work? A: Some platforms, like Homa, take a fixed slice of the buyer-agent commission (Homa takes 1%) and refund the remainder when the seller offers a buyer-agent commission. For example, on a $500,000 house with a 3% buyer-agent commission ($15,000), Homa keeps $5,000 and refunds $10,000 to the buyer.
Q: Are AI-driven mortgages safe and accurate? A: AI-driven mortgages can be accurate if the lender validates the models and separates calculation engines from LLM orchestration. Better's Tinman claims low production costs and high accuracy, but consumers should demand written, auditable calculations from any lender using AI.
Q: What are the main risks if I use an AI-assisted listing or buying service? A: Risks include calculation errors in mortgage math, confusion over who handles title and escrow, misleading photo enhancements, and the possibility that an AI platform's refund comes with contractual trade-offs. Always confirm responsibilities in writing.
I have seen many technology cycles in real estate. This one is notable because the legal changes created a market opening at the exact moment AI tools matured enough to be commercialized. That combination makes savings real and immediate for some buyers and sellers, but it also raises new operational and regulatory risks you must manage. If you are buying a $500,000 home today and the seller pays a 3% buyer-agent commission, using a platform that takes 1% and refunds the rest could put roughly $10,000 back into your pocket to use for closing costs or a mortgage rate buy-down — provided you verify the contract terms and lender calculations before you sign.
We will find property in USA for you
- 🔸 Reliable new buildings and ready-made apartments
- 🔸 Without commissions and intermediaries
- 🔸 Online display and remote transaction
International Real Estate Consultant
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We will find property in USA for you
- 🔸 Reliable new buildings and ready-made apartments
- 🔸 Without commissions and intermediaries
- 🔸 Online display and remote transaction
International Real Estate Consultant
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