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House Prices Turn Up Across France — Tours and Metz Lead the Pack

House Prices Turn Up Across France — Tours and Metz Lead the Pack

House Prices Turn Up Across France — Tours and Metz Lead the Pack

France’s housing market is back to steady growth — what buyers and investors need to know

If you follow the real estate France market, the latest Notaires de France report will catch your attention: after the post-Covid wobble, the country’s house prices are moving up again. The data, covering sales of non-new-build houses up to 31 December 2025, shows slow but broad-based increases, with a handful of cities posting double-digit-like momentum compared with recent quarters.

We read the full Notaires de France release and mapped the implications. Below we explain which cities rose, which fell, how affordability now looks across regions, and what this means for buyers and investors who are weighing moves or purchases in 2026.

Where prices rose fastest — and where they fell

The report compares prices for non-new-build houses between October–December 2024 and October–December 2025. Non-new-build houses are typically properties built more than five years ago with at least one prior owner; the category excludes new-build and many flats, and so gives a clearer view of the established-house market.

The strongest year-on-year increases were concentrated in medium-sized cities rather than Paris. The notable winners were:

  • Tours (Indre-et-Loire): +8.3%
  • Metz (Moselle): +6.6%
  • Dijon (Côte-d'Or): +5.9%
  • Montpellier (Hérault): +5.8%
  • Lyon (Rhône): +5.5%
  • Brest and Marseille/Aix (Finistère; Bouches-du-Rhône): +4.3%

A handful of cities recorded declines, though the magnitude of falls is smaller than earlier in 2025 when some markets saw drops exceeding 10%. The largest year-on-year falls reported were:

  • Grenoble (Isère): -3.2%
  • Haute-Corse: -2.9%
  • Limoges (Haute-Vienne): -2.5%
  • Nantes (Loire-Atlantique): -1.9%
  • Corse-du-Sud: -1.6%
  • Nancy (Meurthe-et-Moselle): -1.5%

What we see in the data is a market reorientation. Cities that lost value earlier in 2025, including Tours and Montpellier, have swung back into growth. The Corsican departments, which enjoyed sustained gains previously, now show small declines, indicating a correction after rapid appreciation.

The most and least expensive markets for houses

If you focus on where to buy for lifestyle reasons or for capital preservation, price levels matter more than short-term changes. The Notaires report lists average prices for houses by area, and the south remains the most expensive territory outside Paris. Key figures are:

Most expensive areas (average price for a house):

  • Toulon (Var): €450,000
  • Corse-du-Sud (Southern Corsica): €440,000
  • Montpellier (Hérault): €402,400
  • Lyon (Rhône): €400,900
  • Marseille/Aix (Bouches-du-Rhône): €391,500

Most affordable areas:

  • Châteauroux (Indre): €118,100
  • Amiens (Somme): €169,700
  • Limoges (Haute-Vienne): €171,100
  • Poitiers (Vienne): €175,500
  • Troyes (Aube): €177,100

Note that Nice and Paris are not directly comparable on the houses map. Nice has relatively few house transactions compared with flats, and Paris’s stock is dominated by flats; the Notaires house dataset treats Île-de-France separately for this reason.

Flats vs houses: different momentum

The Notaires report also examined apartment (flat) prices over the same period. Flats are moving more strongly in many areas than houses, with some northern towns showing price per m² increases approaching double digits. That matters because:

  • Many city-center buyers and investors target flats rather than houses. The stronger per m² growth in flats suggests demand is concentrated in denser urban markets.
  • Mortgage underwriting, rental demand, and resale dynamics differ by property type; you cannot assume a house in the same city will perform like an apartment.

Our analysis: if you are investing for rental yield or frequent tenant turnover, look at the flat market data as well as house prices. In several cities the flat market is leading the recovery.

Regional patterns and what’s driving the movement

Several consistent themes emerge from the Notaires numbers and from what we observe in market activity.

  • The south remains expensive. Coastal and southern cities top the price list for houses, driven by lifestyle demand, stronger seasonal rental markets, and limited land supply.
  • Medium-sized regional cities are outperforming some large metros. Places such as Tours and Metz show robust gains, reflecting local demand, improved transport links, and affordability relative to Paris and the Côte d’Azur.
  • Corrections in formerly hot spots. Corsica is correcting after earlier sharp rises. Grenoble and Limoges are seeing the opposite pressure, with falling prices.

Drivers behind these movements include mortgage rate trends, household relocation patterns since the pandemic, and shifting investor appetite. Interest rates affect purchasing power and thus transactional velocity; when rates stabilise, price growth tends to follow in markets with steady demand.

Practical implications for buyers and investors

Here is how we read the numbers and what we recommend depending on your position:

Buyers seeking affordability

  • Target areas where average house prices are low and local market fundamentals are stable. The Notaires list shows Châteauroux at €118,100 and Limoges at €171,100, which remain among the most affordable.
  • Check local employment trends and vacancy rates. Low prices do not automatically mean good investment unless local demand exists.

Buyers seeking growth

  • Look at cities that recorded solid year-on-year increases and enjoy healthy local economies. Tours (+8.3%) and Metz (+6.6%) top the growth league for houses; these gains suggest stronger capital appreciation potential.
  • Don’t assume past short-term growth repeats indefinitely. Evaluate supply constraints, planning rules, and major infrastructure projects.

Buy-to-let investors

  • Match the property type to demand.
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In many cities the flat market is moving faster than houses; aim for properties that appeal to long-term tenants.
  • Calculate yields using local rents and realistic void periods; rising prices can compress yields unless rents keep pace.
  • Cross-border buyers and expats

    • South-coast properties remain expensive. If you want sun but also value, consider smaller towns inland from the coast where prices can be noticeably lower.
    • Factor in transaction costs (notaire fees, agent fees) and local taxes. These can erode returns and differ by region.

    Our view: buyers should be selective. The general trend is positive, but local variation is wide. Do homework city-by-city rather than assuming a national upswing will lift every market equally.

    Risks and cautionary points

    A sober reading of the Notaires data suggests reasons for caution as well as for opportunity.

    • Interest-rate sensitivity. Although the market shows recovery, affordability depends on mortgage rates. If rates rise again, demand could cool and price growth could stall.
    • Local corrections can be swift. Corsican departments illustrate that rapid gains can reverse. If you chase heat, be prepared for volatility.
    • Supply and transaction mix. The Notaires figures focus on non-new-build houses. Markets with few house transactions (for example Nice) can display distorted averages. Always look at transaction volumes alongside prices.
    • Regional economic health. Cities reliant on one employer sector or tourism can underperform during downturns.

    We advise buyers to run scenario tests: stress-test mortgage payments at higher rates, model rental income with vacancy buffers, and seek properties with broad buyer appeal.

    How to use the Notaires de France report in practice

    The Notaires de France dataset is the most comprehensive national source because it records actual deeded sales. That makes it valuable when you want hard evidence rather than estimates based on listing prices.

    Actionable steps:

    1. Start with the notaire figures for the specific city and property type (house vs flat).
    2. Check transaction volumes to see whether the average price is driven by a few high-end sales or by many transactions.
    3. Compare prices per m² for flats if you are considering central-city investment, and look at median prices for houses if you are targeting family buyers.
    4. Speak to local notaires and agents for nuance: planned developments, zoning changes, and local tax shifts.

    If you are an international buyer, ask for a full breakdown of purchase costs and legal requirements; notaire fees and stamp duties are substantial in France and can change the effective entry price.

    What this means for 2026 buyers and investors

    From our reading, the French property market has moved from reactive volatility into a phase of measured increase. That is encouraging for long-term investors and owner-occupiers, but does not remove the need for selectivity.

    Key short-term signals to watch in 2026:

    • Mortgage rate trends across the eurozone
    • Transaction volumes in each city (rising volumes confirm healthy demand)
    • Local employment and migration patterns (which cities are gaining households)
    • Any fiscal changes affecting property taxation or incentives

    If you are chasing capital gains, favour cities with a combination of recent price growth, healthy transaction volumes, and positive local fundamentals. If you seek affordability, regional centres such as Châteauroux and Limoges remain attractive on paper, but check jobs and services first.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Q: What period does the Notaires de France report cover? A: The house-price data cited covers transactions up to 31 December 2025, and compares the quarter October–December 2024 with October–December 2025.

    Q: Are these figures for houses or apartments? A: The headline figures discussed here refer to non-new-build houses. The report also contains separate data for flats, where some markets show stronger per m² increases.

    Q: Which cities rose the most and by how much? A: The fastest year-on-year rises for houses were Tours +8.3%, Metz +6.6%, Dijon +5.9%, Montpellier +5.8%, and Lyon +5.5%.

    Q: Which areas are most affordable? A: The cheapest average house prices in the report are Châteauroux €118,100, Amiens €169,700, and Limoges €171,100.

    Final assessment for buyers and investors

    The Notaires de France figures show a broadly healthier French property market going into 2026. Growth is not uniform; the strongest house-price gains are in medium-sized cities such as Tours (+8.3%) and Metz (+6.6%), while some previously hot markets have cooled. For those buying, the sensible approach is granular: pick the right city, the right property type, and test your financing against higher-rate scenarios. If affordability is your priority, remember that Châteauroux’s average house price is €118,100 as of 31 December 2025 — a clear, concrete data point to guide search and negotiation.

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